Security practitioners often treat their threat environment as if it’s black or white, rather than a spectrum of possible states or probable outcomes. Security practitioners should be able to focus on their most pressing threats, author says. Bayesian models can help explain if an anomaly is indicative of something bigger, even when the signals are weak or key data is missing, he says. In his view this analytical focus on the gray areas represents a more realistic way of explaining the world as it is, and a more reliable way of anticipating what it will be in the future.”]
Source: https://www.csoonline.com/article/3198132/why-we-need-more-shades-of-gray.html